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Predicting Quantifiability from Primary Screens to Prioritize Dose-Response Profiling

arXiv机器学习 2026-08-27 10:18 13 阅读 查看原文

High-throughput drug screening relies on low-cost primary assays to prioritize compounds for more expensive dose-response profiling, where potency is ultimately quantified.

Current screening strategies largely focus on identifying compounds that will confirm biological activity on follow-up, implicitly assuming that confirmed activity will also yield a usable potency estimate.

However, confirmed biological activity in screening does not necessarily translate into a quantifiable potency, because active compounds can still fail to produce a reportable dose-response estimate.

We therefore present a framework for modeling quantifiability, whether follow-up testing will yield a usable potency estimate, as a distinct triage objective from biological activity.

Quantifiability was strongly predictable from the preceding low-cost screen, with most predictive information arising from the observed screening features rather than molecular structure.

Response-based predictors remained robust on previously unseen chemical scaffolds and generalized across held-out assay-mechanism families, while the probability of successful quantification varied strongly with response amplitude and assay context.

These findings establish experimental measurability, distinct from biological activity, as a predictable property of screening outcomes and show that quantifiability-aware triage can improve the allocation of costly dose-response profiling capacity.